I'm fully convinced that if there wasn't a perl6 effort, we'd
now been seeing maintainance releases for 5.10 with a 5.12
looming on the horizon.
As for whether there would be 14 conferences without perl6,
I don't know. Is there any Perl conference this year which is
mainly about perl6? The last conference I attended had three
perl5 and perl1 pumpkin, but no perl6 pumpkins. It had a large
talk about perl5 development, but not about perl6.
I've two more conferences to go to this year, I'll see what's happening there.