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Re^2: Running a simulation - expected outcome

by BillKSmith (Vicar)
on Sep 30, 2012 at 04:00 UTC ( #996455=note: print w/replies, xml ) Need Help??


in reply to Re: Running a simulation - expected outcome
in thread Running a simulation - expected outcome

Your analysis is based on the probablity of infection. The original analysis is based on the probablility of avoiding infection. It seems to me the result should be the same. I do see a minor "off by one" error in the original because it ignores the fact that he cannot move to the uninfected cell that he is already on.

Bill
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Re^3: Running a simulation - expected outcome
by BrowserUk (Pope) on Sep 30, 2012 at 05:35 UTC

    Okay. But surely, one is just 1 - the other.

    I reckon the answer to be 0.373 / 0.617 on the basis of my own simulation; but I cannot make the math fit.


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    Examine what is said, not who speaks -- Silence betokens consent -- Love the truth but pardon error.
    "Science is about questioning the status quo. Questioning authority".
    In the absence of evidence, opinion is indistinguishable from prejudice.

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