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Your analysis is based on the probablity of infection. The original analysis is based on the probablility of avoiding infection. It seems to me the result should be the same. I do see a minor "off by one" error in the original because it ignores the fact that he cannot move to the uninfected cell that he is already on.

Bill

In reply to Re^2: Running a simulation - expected outcome by BillKSmith
in thread Running a simulation - expected outcome by Cristoforo

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