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200,000 nodes

by blakem (Monsignor)
on Sep 13, 2002 at 07:47 UTC ( #197466=monkdiscuss: print w/ replies, xml ) Need Help??

Perlmonks is quickly approaching node #200,000. In the spirit of PerlMonks Deadpool I'd like to continue the tradition with a repeat contest.

It's simple really. Guess what the timestamp on node 200,000 will be.

IMPORTANT UPDATE: The entry deadline has now (GMTime: Tue Sep 17 22:10:15 2002) passed. No more guesses will be accepted. Better luck next time.

  • Times are in Eastern, the same as shown on the nodes themselves.
  • Closest one in absolute time wins. (10 seconds late is better than 3 minutes early)
  • Once we reach node 198500 no more entries will be accepted.
  • My original node cache will be used to verify all entries (to discourage creative editing of entries)
  • If something screwy happens like antivroom, then the first "normal" node above 200K will be used instead. The definition of "normal" is at my discretion. (For those that weren't around at the time, read the deadpool thread above)

So, just to get this started here is my entry:

Node 200,000 will be posted on Mon Sep 23 06:57:23 2002

-Blake

Comment on 200,000 nodes
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Preceptor (Chaplain) on Sep 13, 2002 at 07:53 UTC
    Timezone on nodes is configurable :)
    But I reckon 2,000,000 will be posted on Sat 21st Sep 18:00
    Updated: I actually meant 200,000, I had the beer goggles on, and couldn't read ;p
    --
    It's not pessimism if there is a worse option, it's not paranoia when they are and it's not cynicism when you're right.
      Timezone on nodes is configurable
      If it is, I haven't been able to get it working correctly... They always seem to correspond to the America/New_York timezone for me. In tye's latest report it looks like they should be configurable, but are still somewhat broken.

      Anyway, we'll use America/New_York (i.e. localtime on the perlmonks server) as our metric.

      Update: Ok, I see it now. If you pick a timezone such as GMT+0 the node timestamp does change... If you use the Timezone Settings to set your preference the timestamp defaults to the servers localtime.

      However, the createtime field in the xml feed is not affected by your user settings, so perhaps it should be the definitive time for our purposes.

      -Blake

        Ok, how about we call it Mostly configurable then ;p
        --
        It's not pessimism if there is a worse option, it's not paranoia when they are and it's not cynicism when you're right.
Re: 200,000 nodes
by sauoq (Abbot) on Sep 13, 2002 at 08:06 UTC
    Fri Sep 20 20:00:00 2002
    -sauoq
    "My two cents aren't worth a dime.";
    
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Ryszard (Priest) on Sep 13, 2002 at 08:59 UTC
    Monday Sept 23 10:00:00 2002
      29 SEP 17:54:18 2002

      Oh, and your winning lottery numbers this week will be 30 29 08 11 15 04 and 43

      If only you could see what I've seen with your eyes...

        My eyes? I was wondering where I left them.. Give them back!
Re: 200,000 nodes
by katgirl (Hermit) on Sep 13, 2002 at 09:07 UTC
    Sunday Sep 22, 2002 at 05:30

    What does the winner win?

      To up the ante, I'll buy the winner a limited edition perlmonks mug. I have two of them myself and they're actually quite nice. How does that sound?

      -Blake

        How about 1,000,000 xp and $3.50 (coffee's expensive these days)

Re: 200,000 nodes
by Chady (Priest) on Sep 13, 2002 at 09:31 UTC
    What the heck.. here's my go:

    Sunday Sep 22 16:11:21 2002
    He who asks will be a fool for five minutes, but he who doesn't ask will remain a fool for life.

    Chady | http://chady.net/
Re: 200,000 nodes
by TStanley (Canon) on Sep 13, 2002 at 10:55 UTC
    Monday, Sep 23, 08:45:20

    TStanley
    --------
    It is God's job to forgive Osama Bin Laden. It is our job to arrange the meeting -- General Norman Schwartzkopf
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Nemp (Pilgrim) on Sep 13, 2002 at 10:56 UTC
    My guess is...

    Node 200,000 will be posted on Sat Sep 21 09:22:31 2002

    Neil
Re: 200,000 nodes
by LTjake (Prior) on Sep 13, 2002 at 11:08 UTC
    Sunday, 22nd September, 2002 @ 13:00
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Tanalis (Curate) on Sep 13, 2002 at 11:09 UTC
    Sat Sep 21 13:42:38 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by nefertari (Chaplain) on Sep 13, 2002 at 11:40 UTC
    My guess is:
    Sun Sep 22 12:34:56 2002

    nefertari
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Beatnik (Parson) on Sep 13, 2002 at 11:46 UTC
    My guess is 20 September 2002 6:55 AM (which is basically the time in EST when I'm 24 years old).

    Greetz
    Beatnik
    ...Perl is like sex: if you're doing it wrong, there's no fun to it.
      September 20th is a good bet, since I too will be 24 on that day. I'd have to confer with my parents for the time I was born but I think it's early in the morning sometime.
        Yeah, I know... Your bday tag showed. I was born at about 5 to 1 PM CET so that makes about 5 hours back in EST (I hope), making it 6:55 AM.
        BTW I have proof my mom was in Belgium that day, giving birth to me. Well, at least if Mom is her REAL name. :-)

        Greetz
        Beatnik
        ...Perl is like sex: if you're doing it wrong, there's no fun to it.

        Heh. Whole wash of September babies. September 20 2002 happens to be the day my little sister turns 21. Go figure.

        Anyone else here born September 20?


        LAI
        :eof
Re: 200,000 nodes
by newrisedesigns (Curate) on Sep 13, 2002 at 12:46 UTC

    I'm estimating that there will be mass hysteria and a flood of noding as that number approaches.

    Thursday, 19 September 17:00:06

    I'm stocking up on gas masks and canned food, how about you?

    John J Reiser
    newrisedesigns.com

Re: 200,000 nodes
by shotgunefx (Parson) on Sep 13, 2002 at 12:56 UTC
    Tues Sep 24 11:38:00 2002

    -Lee

    "To be civilized is to deny one's nature."
Re: 200,000 nodes
by moxliukas (Curate) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:04 UTC

    September 22, 22:22 ;)

      September 23, 09:23

Re: 200,000 nodes
by kelan (Deacon) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:17 UTC
Re: 200,000 nodes
by LAI (Hermit) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:30 UTC
    Fri Sep 20 21:20:19 2002
    Because it looks nifty in UTC

    Update Sorry, that should read "it looks nifty in Unix time." as in, seconds since the epoch. What I wrote earlier made no sense.


    LAI
    :eof
Re: 200,000 nodes
by talexb (Canon) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:33 UTC
    Ach, I was going to do something really scientific and study the daily, weekly and monthly variations and come up with a great guess .. but I'll just roll the dice go with Mon Sep 23 20:30:00 which will be right in the middle of my Monday night chorus rehearsal.

    That last time I took part in a pool like this we (the regulars of the CANOPUS form on CompuServe) were guessing the release date of Windows 95. That was pretty funny. :)

    --t. alex
    but my friends call me T.

Re: 200,000 nodes
by rozallin (Curate) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:33 UTC
    Monday September 23 14:32:23 2002.
Re: 200,000 nodes
by jdavidboyd (Friar) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:40 UTC
    Tue Sep 24 07:33:33 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by vek (Prior) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:44 UTC
    Sun Sep 22 20:34:28 2002

    -- vek --
Re: 200,000 nodes
by vagnerr (Prior) on Sep 13, 2002 at 13:56 UTC
    my guess is
    Mon Sep 23 09:13:28 2002

    ---If it doesn't fit use a bigger hammer
Re: 200,000 nodes
by zigdon (Deacon) on Sep 13, 2002 at 14:40 UTC
    Mon Sep 23 11:25:07 2002

    -- Dan

Re: 200,000 nodes
by sparkyichi (Deacon) on Sep 13, 2002 at 14:53 UTC
    Monday, Sep 23, 23:23:23

    Sparky
    FMTEYEWTK
Re: 200,000 nodes
by katykat (Beadle) on Sep 13, 2002 at 15:31 UTC
    k, I'm saying
    Thurs Sept 26 10:26:12 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by VSarkiss (Monsignor) on Sep 13, 2002 at 15:45 UTC

    Heh. This node itself is upping the creation rate. So I'll guess September 19 2002, 11:15:23.

    How about for extra credit, guess the node's author as well. NodeReaper, Q&A Editors, pmdev do not count. I'll guess blakem ;-).

Re: 200,000 nodes
by mojotoad (Monsignor) on Sep 13, 2002 at 16:03 UTC
    I'm wondering if there's a bunch of pre-written nodes waiting in the wings of watchdog scripts, in the hopes of quickly nodesteading as soon as they notice count 199,999!

    Perhaps the gods can report on whether system load leaps around that time.

    Matt

Re: 200,000 nodes
by abitkin (Monk) on Sep 13, 2002 at 16:08 UTC
    September 25, 12:00:15 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by bassplayer (Monsignor) on Sep 13, 2002 at 16:19 UTC
    Fri Sep 20 09:20:09 2002

    bassplayer

Re: 200,000 nodes
by thelenm (Vicar) on Sep 13, 2002 at 16:21 UTC
    Node #200_000 will be posted at: Sun Sep 22 05:22:00 2002

    -- Mike

    --
    just,my${.02}

Re: 200,000 nodes
by belg4mit (Prior) on Sep 13, 2002 at 16:25 UTC
    Tue Oct 1 12:24:57 EDT 2002

    --
    perl -pew "s/\b;([mnst])/'$1/g"

Re: 200,000 nodes
by laughingboy (Monk) on Sep 13, 2002 at 16:30 UTC
    September 21, 2002, 17:59:59

    laughingboy

(joshua) Re: 200,000 nodes
by joshua (Pilgrim) on Sep 13, 2002 at 16:39 UTC
    After doing some averaging of how many nodes are added each day, etc., I came up with this date:

    Mon Sep 23 23:01:58 2002

    Joshua

Re: 200,000 nodes
by enoch (Chaplain) on Sep 13, 2002 at 18:00 UTC
    Monday, September 23, 13:13:13
Re: 200,000 nodes
by hossman (Prior) on Sep 13, 2002 at 18:15 UTC
    Sept 25 12:34:56 EDT 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by admiraln (Acolyte) on Sep 13, 2002 at 20:05 UTC
    Sep 22 21:24:00 2002

    My 1 seconds worth

Re: 200,000 nodes
by BioHazard (Pilgrim) on Sep 13, 2002 at 20:15 UTC
    Node 200,000 will be posted on Wed Sep 25 03:57:14 2002

    BioHazard
Re: 200,000 nodes
by hiseldl (Priest) on Sep 13, 2002 at 20:52 UTC
    Friday Sep 20 16:08:17 2002

    --
    hiseldl
    "Act better than you feel"

Re: 200,000 nodes
by fglock (Vicar) on Sep 13, 2002 at 21:47 UTC
    Sep 22 18:46:00 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by guha (Priest) on Sep 13, 2002 at 22:54 UTC

    On Fri Sep 20 21:22:23 2002 node # 200_000 will be created (SHMG)

    ---
    It matters not whether you win or lose, what matters is whether I win or lose. -- Darrin Weinberg

Re: 200,000 nodes
by mt2k (Hermit) on Sep 14, 2002 at 03:35 UTC
    See, I will be the one to predict a situation that nobody else ever thought of. This situation brings on my prediction of the 200,000 post being:

    Sunday, October 27, 2002 at 04:13

    How did I come around to getting this date? Simple! The Sun at the centre of our solar system will suddenly flare up with an attitude and create many abnormalities in the Earth's atmosphere. All computerized equipment on the planet will cease to function for a period of nearly 5 weeks until the frenzy caused by the Sun is over. At this point in time, all computer equipment will jump into a functioning state once again and people will once again commence to post on the site. :)

    /me walks off, wondering why he is the only person to realize this coming event. /me steps into his bright white room with nicely padded walls and jumps around all the while laughing like a maniac.

Re: 200,000 nodes
by moof1138 (Curate) on Sep 14, 2002 at 04:11 UTC
    Tues Sep 24 09:27:28 2002 - a guess, nothing more.
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Anonymous Monk on Sep 14, 2002 at 08:13 UTC

    1032348841 (Wed Sep 18 06:34:01 2002 EST)

    (wth is "Eastern"? here's me hoping that's EST...)

      1032348841 (Wed Sep 18 06:34:01 2002 EST)

      Sorry about the anonymous post, for some reason I'm being logged out after hitting submit. (And no, I still don't know what "Eastern" is...)

        By "Eastern" I meant EST or EDT depending on what daylight savings happens to be at the time. Since we switch from one to the other next month, I didn't want to specify... America/New_York is probably a better term for what I intended.

        -Blake

Re: 200,000 nodes
by Anarion (Hermit) on Sep 15, 2002 at 00:54 UTC

    Node 200,000 will be posted on Sat Sep 21 13:13:13 2002

    $anarion=\$anarion;

    s==q^QBY_^=,$_^=$[x7,print
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Anonymous Monk on Sep 15, 2002 at 02:37 UTC
    The 200,000th node will be posted on Sun Sep 22 16:23:42 2002.
      Gah! That should've been non-anonymous, of course. So, here we go again: The 200,000th node will be posted on Sun Sep 22 16:23:42 2002. -- mowgli
Re: 200,000 nodes
by Solo (Deacon) on Sep 15, 2002 at 02:59 UTC
    Wed Sep 18 05:24:16 2002

    In theory, the odds are getting better the closer we approach...

    --
    Never tell me the odds
      In theory, the odds are getting better the closer we approach...
      Yep, that's why I wont be accepting entries after we reach node #198,500. I really should have started this contest earlier and had an earlier cutoff date, though.

      -Blake

Re: 200,000 nodes
by gri6507 (Deacon) on Sep 15, 2002 at 05:34 UTC
    Monday, September 23, 2002 00:00:00
Re: 200,000 nodes
by blaze (Friar) on Sep 15, 2002 at 06:07 UTC
    I'm gonna say Sept 20 2002 11:22:33 (20020920 11:22:33)

    -Robert
Re: 200,000 nodes
by rdfield (Priest) on Sep 15, 2002 at 10:11 UTC
    Mon Sep 23 09:01:33 2002

    rdfield

Re: 200,000 nodes
by crenz (Priest) on Sep 15, 2002 at 15:08 UTC
    My guess is... Fri Sep 19 12:00:00 2002.
Re: 200,000 nodes
by theorbtwo (Prior) on Sep 15, 2002 at 19:52 UTC

    My calculations show node 200,000 will be written on Sep 24 00:12 2002, with an R**2 of 0.9982. Update: Oh, and this contest will close at Sep 18 1:36 2002, so get your entries in while you can ;).


    Warning: Unless otherwise stated, code is untested. Do not use without understanding. Code is posted in the hopes it is useful, but without warranty. All copyrights are relinquished into the public domain unless otherwise stated. I am not an angel. I am capable of error, and err on a fairly regular basis. If I made a mistake, please let me know (such as by replying to this node).

Re: 200,000 nodes
by Anonymous Monk on Sep 15, 2002 at 22:34 UTC

    It's obvious:

    SEP 22 18:15:15.13
        V  R  O  O  M
    

    You people just don't get it do you? Can't you see what's going on here??

    Gotta go, they're after me. ;))

Re: 200,000 nodes
by Lasker (Beadle) on Sep 16, 2002 at 04:58 UTC
    Hi there, Monks.

    My bet is that node 200,000 will be posted at Fri Sept 20 00:37:00 2002

    Regards, Lasker

Re: 200,000 nodes
by Daruma (Curate) on Sep 16, 2002 at 05:31 UTC
    Sun Sep 29 09:29:09 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by NAstyed (Chaplain) on Sep 16, 2002 at 12:50 UTC
    My guess is 30 SEP 10:00:00 2002*

    * I promise that if i win, i'm gonna share the price with everybody, and donate the 1000 XP Bonus, between all the monks, sorry, the car is mine! ;)

Re: 200,000 nodes
by shadox (Priest) on Sep 16, 2002 at 15:12 UTC
    My guess Sep 21 22:01:53 2002
    ___________________________________________
    Optimus magister, bonus liber
Re: 200,000 nodes
by /dev/null (Chaplain) on Sep 16, 2002 at 17:49 UTC
    I'll guess:
    Node 200,000 will be posted on Sat Sep 21 18:42:00 2002 /dev/null
Re: 200,000 nodes
by fireartist (Chaplain) on Sep 16, 2002 at 18:21 UTC
    Sunday 22nd September, 22:00:00, 2002
Re: 200,000 nodes
by thinker (Parson) on Sep 17, 2002 at 07:46 UTC
    My shout

    Tue Sep 24 09:09:09 2002

    cheers

    thinker
Re: 200,000 nodes
by valdez (Monsignor) on Sep 17, 2002 at 08:22 UTC

    My guess is Mon Sep 23 14:00:41 2002

    Ciao, Valerio

Re: 200,000 nodes
by BrowserUk (Pope) on Sep 17, 2002 at 10:28 UTC

    My guess Sun Sep 22 23:14:41 2002.

    I found a flaw in my data, so revised estimate (within 10 mins of the original):

    198,500th Tue Sep 17 19:36:08 2002 200,000th Mon Sep 23 18:30:04 2002

    Well It's better than the Abottoire, but Yorkshire!
ballots for 200,000 nodes have been cast...
by blakem (Monsignor) on Sep 17, 2002 at 10:52 UTC
    Update: Added the winning timestamp after we got to 200,000.

    Wow! With 63 entrants this contest has been more popular than I had expected. Now that we've reached the 198,500th node the poll is closed. No more entrants will be accepted. Here is the official list. Let me know if I've made any cut'n'paste errors:

    Solo Wed Sep 18 05:24:16 2002 mem Wed Sep 18 06:34:01 2002 VSarkiss Thu Sep 19 11:15:23 2002 crenz Fri Sep 19 12:00:00 2002 newrisedesigns Fri Sep 19 17:00:06 2002 Lasker Fri Sep 20 00:37:00 2002 Beatnik Fri Sep 20 06:55:00 2002 bassplayer Fri Sep 20 09:20:09 2002 blaze Fri Sep 20 11:22:33 2002 hiseldl Fri Sep 20 16:08:17 2002 sauoq Fri Sep 20 20:00:00 2002 LAI Fri Sep 20 21:20:19 2002 guha Fri Sep 20 21:22:23 2002 Nemp Sat Sep 21 09:22:31 2002 Anarion Sat Sep 21 13:13:13 2002 Foxcub Sat Sep 21 13:42:38 2002 laughingboy Sat Sep 21 17:59:59 2002 Preceptor Sat Sep 21 18:00:00 2002 /dev/null Sat Sep 21 18:42:00 2002 shadox Sat Sep 21 22:01:53 2002 thelenm Sun Sep 22 05:22:00 2002 katgirl Sun Sep 22 05:30:00 2002 kelan Sun Sep 22 05:48:19 2002 nefertari Sun Sep 22 12:34:56 2002 LTjake Sun Sep 22 13:00:00 2002 Chady Sun Sep 22 16:11:21 2002 mowgli Sun Sep 22 16:23:42 2002 Anonymous Monk Sun Sep 22 18:15:15 2002 fglock Sun Sep 22 18:46:00 2002 vek Sun Sep 22 20:34:28 2002 admiraln Sun Sep 22 21:24:00 2002 fireartist Sun Sep 22 22:00:00 2002 moxliukas Sun Sep 22 22:22:00 2002 -------- NODE 200,001 Sun Sep 22 23:54:58 2002 -------- gri6507 Mon Sep 23 00:00:00 2002 Reverend Phil Mon Sep 23 06:57:22 2002 blakem Mon Sep 23 06:57:23 2002 TStanley Mon Sep 23 08:45:20 2002 rdfield Mon Sep 23 09:01:33 2002 vagnerr Mon Sep 23 09:13:28 2002 Mr. Muskrat Mon Sep 23 09:23:00 2002 Ryszard Mon Sep 23 10:00:00 2002 zigdon Mon Sep 23 11:25:07 2002 enoch Mon Sep 23 13:13:13 2002 valdez Mon Sep 23 14:00:41 2002 rozallin Mon Sep 23 14:32:23 2002 BrowserUk Mon Sep 23 18:30:04 2002 talexb Mon Sep 23 20:30:00 2002 joshua Mon Sep 23 23:01:58 2002 sparkyichi Mon Sep 23 23:23:23 2002 theorbtwo Tue Sep 24 00:12:00 2002 jdavidboyd Tue Sep 24 07:33:33 2002 thinker Tue Sep 24 09:09:09 2002 moof1138 Tue Sep 24 09:27:28 2002 shotgunefx Tue Sep 24 11:38:00 2002 BioHazard Wed Sep 25 03:57:14 2002 abitkin Wed Sep 25 12:00:15 2002 hossman Wed Sep 25 12:34:56 2002 katykat Thu Sep 26 10:26:12 2002 Daruma Sun Sep 29 09:29:09 2002 Anonymous Monk Sun Sep 29 17:54:18 2002 NAstyed Mon Sep 30 10:00:00 2002 belg4mit Tue Oct 01 12:24:57 2002 mt2k Sun Oct 27 04:13:00 2002

    -Blake

      That's not really fair, because Anonymous monk has entered three (ups!) two times! ;)

      Seriously though, what if Anonymous monk wins? Will the runner-up be getting the prize, or will the prize be given to noone? (it could be put into a special prize fund for later contests ;)

        The anonymonk ballots don't really count.... The prize will be given to the closest pseudonymous monk on the list.

        -Blake

Re: 200,000 nodes
by Reverend Phil (Pilgrim) on Sep 17, 2002 at 15:16 UTC
    In the spirit of the dumbest people to ever land on The Price is Right, I'll vote for:
    Mon Sep 23 06:57:22 2002

    Man, which part of "without going over" are these people confused by?
    -=rev=-

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