|XP is just a number|
I think that we’re all beginning to do here, what we once chided our grandfathers for doing: waxing eloquent about “the good ol’ days.” :-)
... when the actual future is most-likely to be (IMHO...) “nothing at all like it.”
What we are unwittingly discussing here is the current status-quo, namely, “the sort of ‘bespoke’ applications that we now know how to construct using Perl.” To do anything-at-all, we are obliged to string-together the very simplest of components ... hashes, arrays, procedural subroutines ...to create an analog of exactly-the-right process that is required for a single CPU (usually ...) to do, such that, if it does this thing correctly, it will “solve the problem.”
To the next generation of “programmers,” those notions will be as quaint as vacuum-tubes ... because they won’t be “programmers” at all, not in the present-sense that we know. In fact you can begin to see this already, although the computing complexes that are capable of doing this sort of thing today are confined to industrial-plant sized installations that require megawatts of power-supply (and top secret budgets).
It will not be a world of lovingly hand-crafted “solutions” ... all of which speak of today’s relative (still ...) scarcity of computing power. The present day role of the “programmer” .. just my 2¢ here, mind you ... will not exist, nor be in any way necessary.
In reply to Re: Where does the new generation of programmers begin?